Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.069559 0.077008 0.085177 0.094847 0.106038 0.118656 0.134057
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.058372 0.068465 0.080443 0.095893 0.115570 0.140186 0.173949
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.050252 0.061554 0.075799 0.095472 0.122594 0.159724 0.216392
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.044982 0.057074 0.073094 0.096538 0.131196 0.182732 0.269917
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041009 0.053574 0.070931 0.097636 0.139637 0.207040 0.333005
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037790 0.050603 0.068945 0.098428 0.147454 0.231902 0.405783
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034928 0.047753 0.066676 0.098267 0.153460 0.254894 0.484035
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032276 0.044899 0.064007 0.096959 0.157072 0.274182 0.562775
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030704 0.043494 0.063381 0.098887 0.166788 0.308011 0.693379
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028654 0.041146 0.060969 0.097315 0.169434 0.327523 0.797433
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027315 0.039796 0.060038 0.098244 0.177209 0.360944 0.965314
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025845 0.038107 0.058359 0.097525 0.181353 0.386878 1.128783
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.024807 0.037070 0.057743 0.098848 0.190466 0.429532 1.398783
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023832 0.036065 0.057088 0.100015 0.199545 0.475979 1.743208
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022722 0.034747 0.055746 0.099596 0.204763 0.513347 2.098932
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021918 0.033896 0.055182 0.100735 0.214180 0.568622 2.659579
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021183 0.033112 0.054666 0.101902 0.223978 0.630403 3.413749
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020466 0.032309 0.054042 0.102743 0.233128 0.695119 4.395854
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019693 0.031352 0.053035 0.102573 0.239397 0.752341 5.536449
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018849 0.030216 0.051586 0.101188 0.241788 0.794824 6.717471
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018416 0.029811 0.051566 0.103230 0.255312 0.898136 9.513421
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017651 0.028741 0.050110 0.101566 0.256595 0.942339 11.663065
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017185 0.028208 0.049724 0.102549 0.267024 1.044132 16.544704